286 points coloneltcb 2 days ago 118 comments
sdcfgy 2 days ago | parent
gruez 2 days ago | parent
>Our analysis here is a reminder that client ASN traffic volume is an unreliable proxy for interpreting automated bot behavior. Defending against automated threats requires inspecting request behavior, such as identifying shared JA4 fingerprints, monitoring anomalous request rates, and applying WAF rules to sensitive endpoints, regardless of which network the request originates from. Physical infrastructure is static, but malicious automation is built to move.
Of course they're tooting their own horn that you need their advanced features and expertise to block all the bots, but it's approximately true. At the very least it's hard to block purely on ASN without inflicting massive collateral damage on privacy conscious users (ie. using VPN), because baddies can (and do) use the same commercial VPNs.
Gigachad 2 days ago | parent
dwroberts 2 days ago | parent
amelius 2 days ago | parent
gruez 2 days ago | parent
>across Cloudflare's network, there was no evidence that the strikes knocked social media manipulation offline or otherwise disrupted malicious activity on the Internet.
This directly refutes the popular memes going around that russian trolls magically went offline because of the attack.
asdf88990 2 days ago | parent
> Following the reported strikes, bot traffic from Yandex.Cloud fell about 40%. … Cloudflare customer blocks on Yandex.Cloud traffic also fell 70% during the event period, suggesting that proportionately less malicious traffic was even hitting the Cloudflare WAF from this ASN
But the memes keep rolling. 57 channels and nothing on.
jrochkind1 2 days ago | parent
https://x.com/cloudflareradar/status/2108122893028671604
https://x.com/CloudflareRadar/status/2110113211059994638
Which cloudflare also doesn't mention, that their vague and misleading tweet was responsible for these rumors that they are now trying to quash too. Tweets starting October 8th and continuing. That they're getting around to being like, yeah guys that data didn't mean that a week later.
This is how "news" and "facts" work in 2026.
gruez 2 days ago | parent
???
>"Bot traffic" refers to [...], not necessarily activity on social media platforms.
I guess they could have been more explicit and straight up said "no, that doesn't mean russian trolls are offline", but their tweet isn't ambiguous.
captn3m0 2 days ago | parent
https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/data-centers/russ...
The word "disinformation" doesn't show up in the post, only in the URL.
-0_0- 2 days ago | parent
ksymph 2 days ago | parent
Actual article title: "Russia's Yandex bot traffic nearly eliminated overnight after Ukraine drone strikes cripple multiple of 'Russia's Google' data centers"
https://www.reddit.com/r/technology/comments/1x38098/russian...
skybrian 2 days ago | parent
onlyrealcuzzo 2 days ago | parent
Presumably these bots make up a very small percentage of traffic in comparison to how much they make up in terms of comments.
And I doubt they have visibility on the most popular social networks.
The reason these bots are able to succeed is because the average person comments and votes so little that there's huge volatility between a power user and an average user. Power users are also not that rare, so it's hard to determine who's a power user and who's a bot (though most power users probably are bots).
You can make up a significant portion of comments and votes (especially on a topic) with a VERY small amount of the total viewing traffic.
shimman 2 days ago | parent
I don't really trust Cloudflare to be a good steward when discussing this since they have a sordid history in protecting hate.
gruez 2 days ago | parent
But nobody did that. All we have is a bunch of people on twitter/reddit passing around the same pixelated screenshot from cloudflare, using it to claim that russian bots have been stopped in their tracks.
locknitpicker 2 days ago | parent
That's quite the militantly ignorant statement.
https://www.thelondoneconomic.com/politics/reform-figures-se...
ShinyLeftPad 2 days ago | parent
locknitpicker 2 days ago | parent
It doesn't seem you even bothered to read the article. It shows quite clearly that following the strike post from populist far-right figures had literally a residual level of engagement, which includes both views, comments, reposts, likes, etc.
The screenshots clearly show posts preceding the strike showing literally an order of magnitude more comments, reposts, etc.
I'm not personally tracking there metrics, but I'd expect engagement to normalize a few days after the strike as Russia's propaganda arm is expected to scramble to get it's operation back online. Therefore, "just by time" can accommodate for Russia getting their botfarms back online. But the snapshot covered by this article alone are clear and obvious.
ShinyLeftPad 1 day ago | parent
For Tice they show a post with 10k views from october 12 and post with 20k views from october 8. There is also post from october 9 which obviously went viral and has hundreds of thousands views, but that's not itself proof because there's a always variability from the algorithm.
Reshare counts are more interesting, 700 for each of oct 8-9 posts but 50 for each of oct 12 posts, that is less likely if we are talking about just the network effects.
anyway we all know russian bots exist. They basically got trump elected after dorsey sold to musk and musk let them run amok. But this is not hard statistics. if they fixed a time period (like, in 3 days posts used to get N engagement avg, now in 3 days posts get M engagement avg) then it could be actual statistics. and they really need to stress reshare counts.
shimman 1 day ago | parent
ipaddr 2 days ago | parent
That's like saying Google protects hate because people who hate you use Google.
When you are colorblind you end up helping everyone even people that hate you.
leobuskin 2 days ago | parent
TheOtherHobbes 2 days ago | parent
This is the first action that has had that effect. Taking out refineries for month after month produced grumbling. Taking out data centres produced an immediate response.
If the data centres didn't matter, Russia and the Trump people would have shrugged and said "Cute..." and/or repeated their standard rhetoric.
birdsongs 2 days ago | parent
Look at what they do, not what they say.
AnimalMuppet 1 day ago | parent
opless 1 day ago | parent
The two networks are quite different despite SpaceX initially doing the MVP work for it.
birdsongs 1 day ago | parent
> In October 2026, George Barros of the Institute for the Study of War said the network had become "the backbone of military communications in Ukraine", used by land, naval and air forces, with both Starlink and Starshield (the US DOD service) used depending on the application.[60]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Starlink_in_the_Russo-Ukrainia...
jmuguy 2 days ago | parent
Russian state actors and propaganda networks literally using Yandex's ASN is like the CIA calling you from a payphone in the lobby of Langley.
Now you could say that parts of their infrastructure were hosted in there, and I'm sure it was, but the "bot" traffic narrative was pretty stupid.
Grimblewald 2 days ago | parent
jmuguy 1 day ago | parent
I assume, I think correctly, that if you're running some sort of propaganda network you do actually want to appear to be living in/coming from that part of the world. So therefore showing "bot" traffic from the Yandex ASN dropping and correlating that directly with "bot" accounts going silent is incorrect. That "bot" traffic is not the propaganda network, its mostly just Yandex's own web scraping bots (which again, anyone that uses Cloudflare and has managed bots on there would tell you)
Now if you want to say that the infrastructure lives there, and is using proxies, VPN etc to appear to come from somewhere in the USA, Poland, etc - then OK. But that's not what the original meme was attempting to describe.
Grimblewald 1 day ago | parent
throw0101a 2 days ago | parent
Unless they don't care if you know. Or don't think it matters. Or if they think the targets are too stupid/lazy/busy to bother to examine/notice the evidence.
Modern propaganda techniques pioneered by Russia against its own population don't bother with trying to convince people, versus just overwhelming them:
mulderc 2 days ago | parent
gruez 2 days ago | parent
mulderc 2 days ago | parent
magic_quotes 2 days ago | parent
mulderc 2 days ago | parent
strogonoff 2 days ago | parent
[0] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GZ5XN_mJE8Y
[1] https://www.thelondoneconomic.com/politics/reform-figures-se...
ksymph 2 days ago | parent
Show me some graphs! Some actual data! Not just the 6 exact posts necessary to make the point.
Moomoomoo309 2 days ago | parent
asdfman123 2 days ago | parent
robot_jesus 2 days ago | parent
nixass 2 days ago | parent
AWS abandoned Bahrain as a region completely after data center strikes. All Infra went to the scrap
asdfman123 2 days ago | parent
I doubt Yandex would ever be able to leave Russia, even if it wanted to.
nixass 2 days ago | parent
Fordec 2 days ago | parent
input_sh 2 days ago | parent
Both were struck over half a year ago and me-south-01 (Bahrain) appears to be gone permanently, while the data loss in me-central-01 (UAE) is limited to one of the availability zones.
duskwuff 2 days ago | parent
Given the active sanctions against Russia, as well as high worldwide prices for components like memory and storage, rebuilding these datacenters is going to be an exceptionally slow and costly process. And I can't imagine Yandex is going to be eager to rebuild immediately given the potential for a "double-tap".
epistasis 2 days ago | parent
Whereas social media users are talking about an entirely different type of bot which is injecting manufactured discourse into people's feeds.
felixgallo 2 days ago | parent
iririririr 2 days ago | parent
cloudflare have zero capabilities to detect mobile farms using sim cards etc. which is what is used for expensive social media manipulation.
pessimizer 2 days ago | parent
raizer88 2 days ago | parent
iririririr 2 days ago | parent
bubbluppugus 2 days ago | parent
Elon getting snooty and Starlink issues in Ukraine are just press releases too; how the fuck do we know what anyone actually did? Too many red herrings troubleshooting systems to assume Starlink isn't just glitched sometimes
While I am firmly in the "Ukraine is the good guy" camp generally both sides of a nation state conflict will lie to both deflect blame and project competence and strength. Will give Zelensky benefit of the doubt until he dead or war ends and if he doesn't step aside legally. But he will latch onto headlines to get his message heard even if Ukraine had nothing to do with it.
rightbyte 2 days ago | parent
Even if you know they are lies it is probably quite bad to pretend they are not since a group can't pretend to believe something in my opinion.
In aggregate it leads to a chain of decisions that are built upon the lies being true ...
poulpy123 2 days ago | parent
Sabinus 2 days ago | parent
poulpy123 2 days ago | parent
expedition32 2 days ago | parent
thriftwy 2 days ago | parent
I can see qui prodest of this productivity disruption, but it doesn't point to Putin.
mahboi 2 days ago | parent
ck2 2 days ago | parent
because Ukraine could offer datacenter-denial as a service
shmerl 2 days ago | parent
ratg13 2 days ago | parent
If it were a professional operation, the first thing you would do would be to not give away the source of where the traffic is coming from and route the traffic through an intermediary.
asdf88990 2 days ago | parent
Waterluvian 2 days ago | parent
I feel like if us-east-1 was down for a week we’d see all kinds of consequences in everyday services. Are Russians enjoying the same?
sedan_baklazhan 2 days ago | parent
guelo 2 days ago | parent
konart 2 days ago | parent
Waterluvian 2 days ago | parent
konart 2 days ago | parent
First of all AWS (even in us-*) most likely have non-US services\data. Yandex is mostly used by russian companies.
Plus, from my personal experience cloud is not as popular in Russia as in the west.
Big players like Sber, Ozon, T-Bank etc have their own datacenters and [may] use Yandex (or cloud.ru for example) for redundancy and\or non-critical services.
Small players use vps or something similar.
Big non-tech players (gas&oil for example) often rent redicated servers or space in a rack for their own hardware.
antonvs 2 days ago | parent
Big players that don’t have their own datacenters - which includes many tech players - rent private wire cages full of racks, or else “suites” - essentially private rooms. But they’re not typically using companies like Yandex. They use enterprise datacenter providers like Equinix, that require enterprise commitments, and don’t sell to individuals.
Bender 2 days ago | parent
# nginx rule to Awaken AWS GuardDuty and GCP SCC, maybe get them to fix a few VMs, enable on all non-wordpress sites after testing in dev/qa
location ~* /(xmlrpc|wp-login\.php|wp-admin) { log_not_found off; access_log off; return 301 http://169.254.169.254$request_uri; }jmuguy 2 days ago | parent
Bender 2 days ago | parent
location ~* /(xmlrpc|wp-login\.php|wp-admin) { set $ban 1; return 444 ''; }
# grep banip /etc/nginx.conf
log_format banip '$remote_addr';
# grep banip /etc/nginx/http.d/some-server.conf
access_log /var/log/nginx/ban.log banip if=$ban;za_creature 2 days ago | parent
antonvs 2 days ago | parent
Bender 2 days ago | parent
For those bots I put their networks into an nginx geo file along with detecting other characteristics and set a variable that tells my app to allow them to post, but all their posts go into a moderator review queue. Some use residential proxies but I've learned how to automatically detect the never-before-seen residential proxies almost instantly now even when they are properly instrumenting Headless Chrome. Only I see Статуя Свободы мертва.
MadrasTh0rn 2 days ago | parent
mopsi 2 days ago | parent
citrin_ru 2 days ago | parent
parasti 2 days ago | parent
"Rigorous digital forensic scrutiny and network telemetry analysis, however, demonstrate that the purported collapse of Russian social media propaganda bots is an analytical mirage born of misinterpreted network traffic data and fabricated viral graphics."
ButlerianJihad 2 days ago | parent
phyzome 2 days ago | parent
malfist 2 days ago | parent
zamalek 2 days ago | parent
Why does my brain refuse to continue reading after this point?
addaon 2 days ago | parent
AtNightWeCode 2 days ago | parent
fierycatnet 2 days ago | parent
alpineman 2 days ago | parent
taeric 2 days ago | parent
Easy hypothesis would be that they were (probably accidentally) reliant on the news scraping bots to find where to focus responses and such. Would be like realizing a lot of US things do down when AWS' us-east goes down. It isn't literally where everything is hosted. A lot of things have accidental dependencies that go through there, though.
iamnothere 2 days ago | parent
There is certainly information warfare happening, but it doesn’t appear that this is the likely host—or perhaps they have good redundancy.
taeric 2 days ago | parent
It is also hard not to see the obvious response from Musk and Putin as indicative that something worked.
tom910 2 days ago | parent
ButlerianJihad 2 days ago | parent
Even many things about the Bible, and key theological controversies, have glib formulaic answers from the mouth of our priests. But it turns out that there are deeper truths. It's not that the priests are consciously lying, but they believe these glib answers, and perhaps nobody simply cares to get to the crux of the matter, but just wants a priest to reassure us that we're not wrong?
I'm tired of believing lies. I still read HN's b.s. headlines all day. I still watch a bunch of video news on YouTube. I know, in my heart, that every news story is a half-truth, deliberately concealing enough information to get my engagement or outrage or sympathy. I am addicted to lies and misinformation. I thought I was a truth-seeker, but I wallow in a world of fakes. God help us all.
secondary_op 2 days ago | parent
Cloudflare employees should come out whistleblowing if they have internal hard evidence of this.
amazingman 2 days ago | parent
483938373993 2 days ago | parent
They truly learned from the best, the most expensive state media (pronounced "Pro-pa-gan-da") in the world.